Bitcoin — trading under pressure within the day while below 81,800. The price is trading below its 20 and 50 EMA. OI has decreased, spot volume has decreased, futures volume is growing. MACD/RSI are neutral. The main scenario is a decline toward the 78.5 zone. The alternative scenario is a breakout above resistance at 81.8K, which will send the price to 84K $BTC

#山寨币资金回流 I believe this round of rebound is not a short-term oversold correction, but a signal that the altcoin season is beginning. 1. Market liquidity: BTC has returned to 81k, ETH is approaching 2,400, market risk appetite has clearly increased, and funds are starting to flow out of large-cap coins into more elastic small- and mid-cap sectors; 2. Sector preference: Preferably focus on PayFi and AI Agent directions, with the former being the leading trend in this round of gains, and the latter being a long-term narrative with strong fundamentals and clear implementation expectations, offering stronger capital absorption; 3. Trading strategy: Do not chase after hot coins that have already doubled, but instead position in potential targets within sectors that have not yet started, have community support, and show progress in implementation, building positions gradually and controlling exposure.

The Middle East is at war, but the crypto market is taking off? Capital has played the script clearly this time Recently, the global situation is very abstract. Tensions in the Middle East are escalating, and risk aversion in the global markets is intensifying; as a result, the crypto market not only didn't fall but instead surged even more. BTC has returned to $81k, ETH is approaching $2,400, and altcoins seem to be collectively hyped up. Many people can't understand it. Actually, it's very simple: The market is betting on "future liquidity." Every time global risk increases, funds preemptively anticipate policy easing. While traditional markets are still hesitating, the crypto market has already surged ahead. And the news of Trump visiting China has shown the market another possibility—phase easing of global trade frictions. So, risk assets are starting to trade the future in advance. The strongest recent PayFi is essentially based on this logic. The more unstable the world, the stronger the cross-border payment demand. Right now, I am most focused on three tokens: ETH ONDO TON ecosystem payment project Especially TON, I think it might become the next retail entry point. Because Telegram traffic is too terrifying. But there is a huge risk in the current market: Everyone is too optimistic. Once BTC spikes high and then falls back, altcoins will instantly plunge collectively. So, the best move now is not to go all-in, but to: Profit while you can and then withdraw. Surviving the bull market is more important than earning quickly. #比特币波动