5.11 Evening Session BTC / ETH / SOL / Gold Resistance and support levels | 12-hour trading framework

This week, there are indeed many noteworthy developments in the crypto market to review. First, on the macro level, the Iran-U.S. ceasefire agreement is extremely fragile, and the revelation that Iran is setting up Bitcoin toll stations in the Strait of Hormuz indicates that geopolitical factors are reshaping global asset flows. The threat of quantum computing to Bitcoin is not just alarmist; 6.9 million high-risk Bitcoins require proactive defense preparations. All these remind us that macro risks and technological risks are intertwined. Institutional actions are quite interesting. Bitwise sees now as a good entry point for Bitcoin, with stablecoins, tokenization, and vaults indeed attracting institutional capital. CZ’s new book reveals Binance’s growth story, and the phrase “if I had invested in ETH back then, Binance wouldn’t exist” shows that every entrepreneurial decision is reshaping history. Ray Dalio warns of a world war, and such macro narratives are also influencing capital allocation logic. Regarding airdrop culture, I’ve read many veteran players’ retrospectives. Stories from getting rich quick to being left behind illustrate everything — chasing airdrops has shifted from fanaticism to a brutal attention war. Ordinary people still have opportunities, but they must learn to identify whales and understand the logic behind tokens. Hyperliquid’s crude oil contracts have performed well in testing, indicating that on-chain RWA trading is challenging traditional finance’s dominance. Public chain competition is also evolving. When transaction fees are no longer a barrier, Bitcoin is expanding its programmability, Ethereum consolidates its liquidity hub position, and Solana focuses on high-frequency payments — each has found its niche. The Argentine president’s LIBRA scandal, the Aave team’s defection risks, and exchange derivatives risks all point to one truth: risk control is most needed during bear markets. On the data front, independent miners have recently mined many blocks with rewards, while trading volumes on major exchanges like Binance have plummeted nearly 50% from last year’s peak, hitting a 17-month low. A major mainstream exchange is adjusting its perpetual contracts, indicating a transformation in the CEX ecosystem. Ethereum’s stablecoin supply has reached a record high of $180 billion, showing that on-chain finance continues to expand. Overall, this week’s information reflects a market undergoing structural change — shifting from pure speculation to institutionalization, from cost competition to scene segmentation, and from centralized trading to on-chain asset transfer. For miners and traders, understanding these changes is more important than chasing short-term volatility.